In the wake of the release of the Freedom House [FH] report on Zimbabwe, the Afrobarometer has just released a report that perhaps sheds some light on the probable of party political support in Zimbabwe. Michael Bratton and Eldred Masunungure identify the methodological differences between the FH survey and an earlier Afrobarometer survey. In short, Bratton and Masunungure conclude that fear is a bigger factor than is acknowledged, but also that support for ZANU PF and MDC-T is more evenly split than is the conclusion of the FH study. Both reports need careful reading before any firm conclusions are drawn and parties begin to congratulate themselves.
The reports are available at the two sites indicated below: